Kenyatta to win Kenyan election by small margin, predicts political economist

Former President Thabo Mbeki is in Kenya as an observer, ahead of the country's general elections.

Kenyans are due to go to the polls on Tuesday but the killing of a top electoral official has sparked fears of violence.

Veteran opposition leader Raila Odinga is running against incumbent President Uhuru Kenyatta, who is battling to secure a second five-year term.

Odinga, of the umbrella opposition party National Super Alliance, will challenge incumbent Kenyatta of the Jubilee Party in next week's 8 August polls.

Political economist Ronak Gopaldas predicts that Kenyatta will likely take narrow win for his party.

Gopaldas argues that move to the devolved system of governance in Kenya has altered political geography and brought power to the people.

Kenyans will choose a new president, lawmakers and local representatives, and he believes that this system has diluted risk of national violence, as in the 2007 polls.

Elections in Kenya are always high-stakes affairs, very competitive and tense.

Ronak Gopaldas, Head of Country Risk at Rand Merchant Bank

Not only are Kenyans voting for for their President this time, they're voting for local governors, senators, female county representatives an Parliamentarians.

Ronak Gopaldas, Head of Country Risk at Rand Merchant Bank

Either way, Gopaldas argues that the stage is set for legal contestation through the courts, following the election results.

Take a listen his analysis and predictions:


Recommended

by NEWSROOM AI
Read More
Hiding inside the 'dark web' - the horrors of child pornography

Hiding inside the 'dark web' - the horrors of child pornography

Expert says says child pornography has the effect of re-abusing the victim because it always exists online.

Thousands expected to march in support of Zuma

Thousands expected to march in support of Zuma

Supporters of the former president are expected to march to the Durban High Court on Friday.

NPA to pursue Zuma prosecution

NPA to pursue Zuma prosecution

NPA boss Shaun Abrahams announced on Friday that the state will reinstate fraud and corruption charges against Jacob Zuma.

[WATCH Bongani Bingwa] Politicians personify low standards and are nonsensical

[WATCH Bongani Bingwa] Politicians personify low standards and are nonsensical

Breakfast show host Bongani Bingwa interrogates the issue of corruption by state officials and questions their competence.

[LISTEN] Neighbours from hell:  Callers share their stories

[LISTEN] Neighbours from hell: Callers share their stories

Tebogo says his neighbor is always borrowing a cup of sugar and other non-perishables.

'Encourage people to take precautions against listeriosis but they need water!'

'Encourage people to take precautions against listeriosis but they need water!'

702's Bongani Bingwa comments on the Cape Town water crisis, saying residents may be exposed to disease if it is not resolved.

Popular articles
'My hubby is 75 and we still do it' - stories about sex on the other side of 50

'My hubby is 75 and we still do it' - stories about sex on the other side of 50

Is biology putting the brakes on your sexuality? Callers share their experiences of sex and growing older.

'Some weed plants with high levels of chemicals have been linked to psychosis'

'Some weed plants with high levels of chemicals have been linked to psychosis'

Naked Scientist, Chris Smith shares his insights on some of the risks associated with smoking marijuana.

[Watch] Dad breaks down when reunited with car sold to pay wife’s bills

[Watch] Dad breaks down when reunited with car sold to pay wife’s bills

Khabazela shares some of the most popular tweets, posts, and videos on 'What's gone viral'.

Charity loses R39k event deposit after previous Ritz Hotel management goes awol

Charity loses R39k event deposit after previous Ritz Hotel management goes awol

The Ritz Hotel is under new management and the money paid to previous management has still not been refunded.

DStv Premium on a downward spiral, warns tech guru

DStv Premium on a downward spiral, warns tech guru

DStv has lost about 140 000 Premium subscribers to Netflix over the past two years, tech expert Arthur Goldstuck.

Heinrich Volmink could've been a good mayor but Dan Plato gets the livery collar

Heinrich Volmink could've been a good mayor but Dan Plato gets the livery collar

Prof Jonathan Jansen sings Volmink's praises as Dan Plato is elected to lead the City of Cape Town taking over from De Lille.

Standard Bank's Ian Sinton implicates two cabinet ministers in state capture

Standard Bank's Ian Sinton implicates two cabinet ministers in state capture

Standard Bank’s head of compliance Ian Sinton told the commission two ministers bullied the bank not to close Gupta's accounts.

Key things to consider ahead of your retirement

Key things to consider ahead of your retirement

If you’re a baby boomer on the brink of retirement, here are a few things to consider ahead of time.