'Winter rains will get Cape Town through summer but not out of the woods'

In less than a month, Cape Town will be officially entering the winter season, which is also the region's rainy season.

With the province still recovering from the worst drought that hit the area in 100 years, will this year's rainfall be enough to finally overcome the drought?

University of Cape Town's climate scientist Dr Peter Johnson gives an analysis of the rainfall data for 2019 and how it compares to prior years, as well as what is needed in order for the dams to be adequately replenished.

Read: Have your say on City's new plan to help make Cape Town drought-proof

The figures are a little bit misleading, depending on where you are. If you look at Theewaterskloof we are around the normal range and we can sort of say we can have a normal winter.

Dr Peter Johnson, Climate scientist - UCT

In the Theewaterskloof, we could have around 800mm of rain which typically would fill the dams in two years.

Dr Peter Johnson, Climate scientist - UCT

Chances of filling the dams are low but the chances of getting some rain are good.

Dr Peter Johnson, Climate scientist - UCT

Johnson says there will be enough water to get residents through the summer but that doesn't mean we are out of the woods.

The big question is if we are getting these dry years, is that something we going to see often in the future? Most of the scenarios are saying yes it is.

Dr Peter Johnson, Climate scientist - UCT

With the short-term focus, the weather services are saying the rain is going to come late this winter, Columbia University says we are going to be dry and the University of Pretoria is uncertain. This is because it is very difficult to predict rainfall.

Dr Peter Johnson, Climate scientist - UCT

To hear the rest of the conversation, listen below:


Recommended

by NEWSROOM AI
Read More
[UPDATE] KZN floods death toll rises to 32, more rains expected

[UPDATE] KZN floods death toll rises to 32, more rains expected

MEC pleads with employers to be considerate as weather expected to worsen.

Brace yourselves for a rainy Thursday in the Mother City

Brace yourselves for a rainy Thursday in the Mother City

Get your umbrellas out! The SA Weather Service says a cold front is expected in several parts of the Western Cape on Thursday.

Beira hospital badly damaged, with only one unit operational

Beira hospital badly damaged, with only one unit operational

EWN's Ahmed Cajee reports from Beira as relief efforts continue in cyclone devastated Mozambique.

Capetonians water consumption down by about 536 million litres of water a day

Capetonians water consumption down by about 536 million litres of water a day

Mayco member for water and waste, Xanthea Limberg talks to Kieno Kammies about Cape Town's latest dam levels.

Tests prove we’re the best in South Africa, claims both MTN and Vodacom

Tests prove we’re the best in South Africa, claims both MTN and Vodacom

Branding and advertising expert Andy Rice slams Vodacom and MTN’s "playground fight over who has the better network".

'They think they're the boss of the road' - Listeners share taxi driver tales

'They think they're the boss of the road' - Listeners share taxi driver tales

702/CapeTalk listeners share stories of having been violently harassed by taxi drivers and feel the government needs to act on it.

Nearly 2000 baby flamingos rescued at dried up Kamfers Dam

Nearly 2000 baby flamingos rescued at dried up Kamfers Dam

The man-made Kamfers Dam near Kimberley is low on sewage water supply, leaving thousands of lesser flamingo chicks vulnerable.

Cape Wineland's vines on the road to recovery after good winter rains

Cape Wineland's vines on the road to recovery after good winter rains

VinPro's executive director Rico Basson says they are expecting a slightly bigger harvest but things are not yet back to normal.

Popular articles
'Driving licence backlog whittled down to about 30 000 nationally'

'Driving licence backlog whittled down to about 30 000 nationally'

Western Cape Transport MEC, Donald Grant, says there is progress in renewals which stood at about 200 000 two months ago.

'History of contempt and pity runs through 100 years of research at SU'

'History of contempt and pity runs through 100 years of research at SU'

Stellenbosch University's Professor Jonathan Jansen describes universities' research history of racial tropes over past 100 years.

'It is very clear that Ramaphosa is under attack from Magashule and others'

'It is very clear that Ramaphosa is under attack from Magashule and others'

News24 editor-in-chief Adriaan Basson says there is a definite fight back from the ANC secretary-general against the president.

[UPDATE] Kind-hearted listeners ensure murdered security guard receives burial

[UPDATE] Kind-hearted listeners ensure murdered security guard receives burial

Ernest Kanzi's family will take his body back to the Eastern Cape on Thursday thanks to the generosity of Clint Beech and others.

Schwarzenegger urges public not to give Sandton 'fan' the attention he craves

Schwarzenegger urges public not to give Sandton 'fan' the attention he craves

A video of a young man kicking actor and former US governor Arnold Schwarzenegger in the back on Saturday in Joburg went viral.

Heavy rains heading for Cape Town late Sunday night

Heavy rains heading for Cape Town late Sunday night

SA Weather Services has forecast a cold front landing in the Western Cape late on Sunday night into Monday morning.

[LISTEN] 'I spent 12 years in jail for a murder I didn't commit'

[LISTEN] 'I spent 12 years in jail for a murder I didn't commit'

In 1990 Raphael Rowe was convicted and jailed for a murder he didn't commit. He shares his story with Sara-Jayne King.