2019 South African general election: Analysis and News

'Polls are showing there really is no threat to the DA in Western Cape'

Kieno Kammies speaks to author and political analyst about voting statistics Western Cape, and what the predictions are for the 2019 elections.

Just over 3 million of the Western Cape's 6 million population registered for the upcoming election. More women than men have registered.

In the last election, there was a 75% turnout for the national ballot and 2% less for the provincial ballot.

Twenty out of the 34 parties contesting the elections are new.

You need to get around 45 000 votes to get a seat in the national and the provincial Parliament...so it is extremely difficult for new parties.

Melanie Verwoerd, Author, analyst and former ANC MP

She says the Good Party may have been too ambitious in deciding to run a national campaign across all nine provinces.

It would most probably have been far better for them to have restricted to the Western and Northern Cape.

Melanie Verwoerd, Author, analyst and former ANC MP

While the Good Party is somewhat young to poll effectively, predictions are sitting at 1.5% of the Western Cape vote, while the Freedom Front is polling around 3%.

The polls are showing us there really is no threat to the DA. The ANC is polling around 32 to 35%...the EFF is polling on a good day in the Western Cape around 6% - the latest poll shows them around 1%.

Melanie Verwoerd, Author, analyst and former ANC MP

The ANC and EFF together are polling on their best day around 40%, she says.

So there is no way they can form a coalition and govern the Western Cape and get more than 50%.

Melanie Verwoerd, Author, analyst and former ANC MP

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