Streaming issues? Report here
Aubrey Masango 2019 BW Aubrey Masango 2019 BW
The Aubrey Masango Show
20:00 - 22:00
volume_up
volume_mute

Up Next: Best of CapeTalk
See full line-up
The Aubrey Masango Show
20:00 - 22:00
Home
arrow_forward
Local
fiber_manual_record
Politics

Western Cape will have less than 10 deaths a day by end of September - Panda

31 July 2020 8:44 AM
Tags:
Western Cape
Covid-19 statistics

'It means the pandemic will be over for us before the rest of the provinces,' says Panda's Piet Streicher.

Is the Western Cape's Covid-19 infection peak behind us and what do the coming months hold?

Piet Streicher of Pandemic Data Analytics talks to Refilwe Moloto about what we can actually read into announcements by the Western Cape Health authorities that they are seeing signs that infection rates in the province are no longer accelerating.

We predicted we would reach the peak between 23 June and 7 July and we actually reached the peak on 24 June at a level of 52 deaths a day.

Piet Streicher - Pandemic Data Analytics

Since then he says the death rate has gradually declined.

It's down to about 35 deaths a day and it is consistently declining which is very good news for the Western Cape and is supported by what we are seeing in the hospitals.

Piet Streicher - Pandemic Data Analytics

He says currently fewer beds are in use for Covid-19 patients and bed usage peaked at 1,900 beds. It is now down to 1,400 he adds.

ICU beds peaked at 330. and that is down to 270 already.

Piet Streicher - Pandemic Data Analytics

He says staff capacity, as well as bed availability, also plays a vital role.

Certainly, for the Western Cape, the healthcare service was taking a lot of strain - but we got through it and I think the Western Cape did very well.

Piet Streicher - Pandemic Data Analytics

Streicher commends the Western Cape Health Department's daily release of statistics.

The numbers they brought out on a daily basis, was of very high quality and very accurate.

Piet Streicher - Pandemic Data Analytics

The use of oxygen has become a preferred treatment to ventilators for many Covid-19 patients, and he says the use of oxygen has also declined.

It means the pandemic will be over for us before the rest of the provinces.

Piet Streicher - Pandemic Data Analytics

We should have less than 10 deaths a day by the end of September which is great news for the Western Cape and we will be able to get back to normal sooner.

Piet Streicher - Pandemic Data Analytics

Panda strongly supported Premier Alan Winde's decision to shorten the curfew and allow restaurants to operate more effectively and to open up leisure travel accommodation.

Especially in Western Cape, we should open as much of the economy as soon as possible.

Piet Streicher - Pandemic Data Analytics

People need to work to earn a living, he says.

Our risk now from an economic point of view is much, much higher than Covid.

Piet Streicher - Pandemic Data Analytics

It is important now to also focus on other health concerns, he notes.

Are their risks of a second wave?

We have not seen any region or metro in the world that has gone through a second peak of deaths. You sometimes get a second peak in terms of cases, but especially where the virus got everywhere.the chances of going back to having 50 deaths of a day are unlikely.

Piet Streicher - Pandemic Data Analytics

And it is highly likely the virus reached everywhere in the Western Cape he says.

The chances of ever going back to a scenario of having 50 deaths of a day are impossible at this stage...as it reached everywhere and that is the reason it slows down.

Piet Streicher - Pandemic Data Analytics

Listen to the interview below:


31 July 2020 8:44 AM
Tags:
Western Cape
Covid-19 statistics

More from Local

afrika-tikkunjpg

SA needs 'the Madiba compassion' more than ever now, says Afrika Tikkun CEO

5 August 2020 8:54 PM

Marc Lubner on the NGO's programmes for young South Africans and how working with Nelson Mandela inspired his life's work.

Share this:
Read More arrow_forward

car insurance short-term cover 123rfbusiness 123rflifestyle 123rf

Why it's a bad idea to ditch or downgrade your car insurance to save on costs

5 August 2020 8:21 PM

Involved in an accident you didn't cause? Third party claims don't pay out much. Wendy Knowler shares one driver's horror story.

Share this:
Read More arrow_forward

cigarette-smoker-lighting-up-lighter-smoking-tobacco-product-addiction-123rf

'Cigarettes supposedly exported to Namibia are being sold on SA's black market'

5 August 2020 6:15 PM

Former SARS lawyer Telita Snyckers has a theory about why Namibians are struggling to get hold of their preferred SA-made cigarette brands.

Share this:
Read More arrow_forward

sheep-squashed-together-herd-farm-animals-live-export-trade-livestock-123rf

NSPCA heads to High Court in latest battle against live sheep export

5 August 2020 4:55 PM

Animal welfare group National Council of SPCAs (NSPCA) wants to put an end to the live export of animals to the Middle East.

Share this:
Read More arrow_forward

African-bush-elephant-safari-drive-tourism-Kruger-National-Park-Sanparks-123rf

Overnight accommodation to gradually reopen from 14 August, says SANParks

5 August 2020 3:25 PM

SANParks says national parks will reopen for overnight stays from next week Friday onwards.

Share this:
Read More arrow_forward

Gavel of judge in law court legal 123rflegal 123rf

Court hears arguments in BAT SA's case against cigarette sale ban

5 August 2020 2:03 PM

The second major court challenge to the tobacco ban is currently underway in the Western Cape High Court.

Share this:
Read More arrow_forward

zoom-backdropjpg

CT businessman creates free-to-use Zoom backdrop in a bid to promote Mother City

5 August 2020 11:23 AM

Ditch the Golden Gate Bridge on Zoom! You can now spruce up your work-from-home backdrop while also putting Cape Town on the map.

Share this:
Read More arrow_forward

2fast4u-follow-up-videopng

[WATCH] Motorist eyeballs towed Constantia car, yells '2 fast 4 youuuuuu. Pew!'

5 August 2020 11:18 AM

Motorist films towed sports car that crashed into Constantia restaurant on Tuesday noticing the now-infamous number plate 2fast4u.

Share this:
Read More arrow_forward

Alcohol gender-based violence gbv 123rf 123rflifestyle domestic abuse

How to change boys' perception of what it means to be 'a real man'

5 August 2020 9:52 AM

Refilwe speaks to professors Malose Langa and Kopano Ratele about masculinity and raising upstanding men.

Share this:
Read More arrow_forward

Beer draught lager craft 123rf 123rflifestyle 123rfbusiness

Easy steps to making craft beer quickly, safely and legally at home

5 August 2020 8:58 AM

Breweries in SA can't sell beer but they can sell wort, a key part of the normal beer-making process. Here's how it works.

Share this:
Read More arrow_forward

More from Politics

Red wine white woman female funny reaction 123rf 123rflifestyle

Alcohol industry 'optimistic' that sales prohibition will soon be lifted

5 August 2020 1:15 PM

"If allowed to trade, we can’t be on the edge of our seats every time that the President is about to speak," pleads Kurt Moore.

Share this:
Read More arrow_forward

Alcohol gender-based violence gbv 123rf 123rflifestyle domestic abuse

How to change boys' perception of what it means to be 'a real man'

5 August 2020 9:52 AM

Refilwe speaks to professors Malose Langa and Kopano Ratele about masculinity and raising upstanding men.

Share this:
Read More arrow_forward

200804 Zweli Mkhize

[WATCH] Minister Mkhize Covid-19 update 'we're not out of the woods yet'

5 August 2020 7:21 AM

On Wednesday morning Health Minister Zweli Mkhize delivered an update on the Covid-19 pandemic in South Africa.

Share this:
Read More arrow_forward

Serveusprotest_1352

Impact of divestment will be dire - we need govt action to restore trust in SA

4 August 2020 6:49 PM

'You have to wonder, where is leadership in our society now?' Bruce Whitfield interviews the CDE's Ann Bernstein.

Share this:
Read More arrow_forward

matshela-koko-ewn-picjpg

Former Eskom exec Matshela Koko dismisses SIU moves as 'bad publicity stunt'

4 August 2020 5:09 PM

Former Eskom Group CEO Matshela Koko has scoffed at plans by Eskom and the Special Investigating Unit (SIU) to recoup almost R4 billion diverted illegally from the power utility.

Share this:
Read More arrow_forward

Surgical mask sanitiser gym fitness dumbell 123rf 123rfbusiness 123rflifestyle

Gyms employ 29 000 South Africans. They’re taking to the streets in desperation

4 August 2020 3:26 PM

"We have a 29-page set of world-class safety protocols. We want to get back!" pleads FitSA spokesperson Grant Austin.

Share this:
Read More arrow_forward

200727citygif

City of Cape Town's Malusi Booi: Political agenda behind land invasion protests

4 August 2020 1:32 PM

Human Settlements Mayco Member Malusi Booi national government and SAPS are not assisting the City in resolving the issues.

Share this:
Read More arrow_forward

eskom-logojfif

'Eskom is under no illusion that we will recover this R4 billion' - Mantshantsha

4 August 2020 11:54 AM

Eskom's spokesperson Sikonathi Mantshantsha says a 140-page document with all the evidence has been submitted to the High Court.

Share this:
Read More arrow_forward

Candle Eskom 123rf 123rfbusiness 123rflifestyle

Eskom wants its stolen money back – from Koko, Molefe, Singh, etc and the Guptas

3 August 2020 6:27 PM

The process to recover the looted billions has begun. Bruce Whitfield talks to Steven Powell, Director in Forensics at ENS Africa.

Share this:
Read More arrow_forward

Zimbabwe flag 123rf

Zim govt 'clamps down on dissent' after Covid corruption exposés spark protests

3 August 2020 5:13 PM

Zimbabwe is making international headlines as authorities arrest citizens for protesting against alleged corruption by the government.

Share this:
Read More arrow_forward