Streaming issues? Report here
Sara-Jayne King Sara-Jayne King
Weekend Breakfast with Sara-Jayne King
06:00 - 10:00
volume_up
volume_mute

Up Next: An Hour With a Special Guest on Just the Hits
See full line-up
Weekend Breakfast with Sara-Jayne King
06:00 - 10:00
Home
arrow_forward
Local

Why Gauteng could be hit the hardest by the third wave

4 May 2021 12:51 PM
Tags:
Gauteng
Prof Alex Welte
Covid-19 third wave
Gauteng third wave

Data modelling by the National Institute for Communicable Diseases (NICD) suggests that Gauteng will be the hardest-hit province during the next Covid-19 surge.

The NICD's latest Covid-19 modelling report indicates that Gauteng will be the worst affected province when the third wave hits, in the worst-case scenario.

Epidemiologist Professor Alex Welte says Gauteng is more vulnerable than other provinces due to a number of potential factors.

Welte explains that Gauteng is at a higher risk due to the sheer size of its population and the age structure in the province.

He says the province is also more susceptible due to a higher level of pre-existing health conditions which is associated with an increased risk of severe Covid-19.

Welte adds that waning immunity levels will also play a role.

He advises that the model projections are not set in stone and will be highly influenced by population behaviour and whether or not people adherence to Covid-19 restrictions.

Overall, the professor says seasonal factors, such as colder weather over the winter months, could also increase transmission due to increased contact indoors and decreased ventilation.

Gauteng has a working-age population... which does a lot of social mixing that will be particularly vulnerable to transmission.

Prof Alex Welte, Epidemiologist and Research Professor - SACEMA at Stellenbosch University

According to the numbers available, it also has a larger number than the average of people with risk factors for severe Covid-19. It all adds up.

Prof Alex Welte, Epidemiologist and Research Professor - SACEMA at Stellenbosch University

Our fate is ultimately in our hands... There's a lot of dependency on what exactly happens... Do people adhere to mask-wearing, do people insist on having parties.... winter is not the best time to on the brink of another wave.

Prof Alex Welte, Epidemiologist and Research Professor - SACEMA at Stellenbosch University

There's a range of projections that depends quite critically on how strongly and effectively non-pharmaceutical interventions [ e.g. mask-wearing, sanitising, social distancing] are applied.

Prof Alex Welte, Epidemiologist and Research Professor - SACEMA at Stellenbosch University

Listen to the discussion on Early Breakfast with Africa Melane:




4 May 2021 12:51 PM
Tags:
Gauteng
Prof Alex Welte
Covid-19 third wave
Gauteng third wave

More from Local

3 cool and fun things to do this Mother's Day weekend in Cape Town

8 May 2021 7:46 AM

Get to Beau Constantia on Saturday afternoon for a 'Silent Boogie' and dance yourself silly without disturbing the neighbours.

Share this:
Read More arrow_forward

VACCINE WRAP | NCCC mulls tighter border rules amid fears of 'imported' variants

7 May 2021 3:12 PM

CapeTalk gives you a round-up of the latest vaccine news every week.

Share this:
Read More arrow_forward

South African student in China falls to her death under mysterious circumstances

7 May 2021 3:06 PM

Kgothatso Mdunana (24) was studying civil engineering at Shandong University.

Share this:
Read More arrow_forward

Alleged mastermind behind Tshegofatso Pule's murder denied bail

7 May 2021 2:01 PM

Ntuthuko Shoba is alleged to be behind the murder of pregnant Tshegofatso Pule found hanging from a tree last June in Durban Deep.

Share this:
Read More arrow_forward

More rain in Little Karoo's Ladismith area over past 2 days than in last 7 years

7 May 2021 1:48 PM

W Cape Local Govt and Environmental Affairs' James-Brent Styan says the storm aftermath will see rivers flooding low-lying areas.

Share this:
Read More arrow_forward

'Some feel Ace Magashule should force his way into NEC meeting if not allowed'

7 May 2021 1:08 PM

"In Ace Magashule’s camp, there are people who feel he should force his way in if he’s not allowed," says Tshidi Madia.

Share this:
Read More arrow_forward

Golden Arrow tests viability of fully electric fleet

7 May 2021 10:34 AM

Lester Kiewit interviews Golden Arrow Bus Services spokesperson Bronwen Dyke Beyer.

Share this:
Read More arrow_forward

[REWARD, NO QUESTIONS] Can you help a listener find her stolen instruments?

7 May 2021 9:25 AM

"It’s going to be difficult to sell these instruments without getting noticed," says Louisa Theart. "I won’t ask questions!"

Share this:
Read More arrow_forward

What to consider if you want to leave money to your children

6 May 2021 8:57 PM

Valuable tips on ensuring an inheritance for your kids and educating them about money from personal finance expert Warren Ingram.

Share this:
Read More arrow_forward

Companies are dreaming up new ways to exploit you using voice profiling

6 May 2021 8:30 PM

The latest patents are 'deeply frightening'. Tech expert Toby Shapshak on the voice-profiling revolution in marketing.

Share this:
Read More arrow_forward